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Weather Predictions for Winter 2019-2020
From the NOAA U.S. Winter Outlook Update
Temperature
The
greatest likelihood for warmer-than-normal conditions are in Alaska and
Hawaii, with more modest probabilities for above-average temperatures
spanning large parts of the remaining lower 48 from the West across the
South and up the eastern seaboard.
The Northern Plains, Upper Mississippi Valley, and the western Great
Lakes have equal chances for below-, near- or above-average
temperatures.
No part of the U.S. is favored to have below-average temperatures this
winter.
Wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in Alaska and Hawaii this winter, along with portions of the Northern Plains, Upper Mississippi Valley, the Great Lakes and parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.
Drier-than-average conditions are most likely for Louisiana, parts of Texas, Mississippi, Arkansas and Oklahoma as well areas of northern and central California.
The remainder of the U.S. falls into the category of equal chances for below-, near-, or above-average precipitation.
Abnormally dry conditions are present across much of the Southern U.S., with areas of the most severe drought in the Four Corners region of the Southwest, central Texas and parts of the Southeast.
Drought is expected to improve in portions of the Southeast, Mid-Atlantic, Alaska and Hawaii, while persisting in central Texas and the Southwest.
Drought development is expected to occur in parts of central California. (See NOAA's seasonal drought outlook page for map and details.)
NOAA’s seasonal outlooks provide the likelihood that temperatures and total precipitation amounts will be above-, near- or below-average, and how drought conditions are favored to change. The outlook does not project seasonal snowfall accumulations as snow forecasts are generally not predictable more than a week in advance. Even during a warmer-than-average winter, periods of cold temperatures and snowfall are expected.
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center updates the three-month outlook each month. The next update will be available November 21.
Seasonal outlooks help communities prepare for what is likely to come in the months ahead and minimize weather's impacts on lives and livelihoods. Empowering people with actionable forecasts and winter weather tips is key to NOAA’s effort to build a more Weather-Ready Nation.